Archive for October, 2007

The High Cost of Ownership

Monday, October 29th, 2007

Tennessee’s public infrastructure, just like the nation’s as a whole, is feeling the physical strain of time, growth and use. According to a new report released by the Tennessee Advisory Commission on Intergovernmental Relations (TACIR), our state needs at least $28.3 Billion of improvements to be in some stage of development during the five-year period of 2004-2009. Current information about the availability of funding to meet Tennessee’s public infrastructure needs indicates that in dollar terms more than half may go unmet. Of the $23.2 billion in needs for which the availability of funding was reported, local officials are confident of only $9.0 billion of that amount.

The current report, which is based on information provided by state and local officials, shows an increase in needs of $14.7 billion (up 107%) since the first inventory was published six years ago and an increase of about $3.9 billion (16%) from the October 2005 report. These needs fall into six general categories:

-         Transportation and Utilities:  $14.6 billion

-         Education:  $5.7 billion

-         Health, Safety, and Welfare:  $5.2 billion

-         Recreation and Culture:  $1.8 billion

-         Economic Development:  $699 million

-         General Government:  $426 million

According to Dr. Harry Green, TACIR’s executive director, local governments are confident that less than half of the funds necessary to meet these needs have been identified. The largest increase is in the Transportation and Utilities category, which remains the single largest overall. This category increased from $10.4 billion to $14.6 billion. Transportation needs alone represent $13.7 billion (48.2%) of the total infrastructure needs. Most of the rest of the increase from the previous inventory was in non K-12 education with an increase of $355 million; public health facilities with an increase of $99 million; law enforcement, an increase of $93 million; and K-12 existing schools improvements, an increase of $54 million.

This particular TACIR project is the only source of statewide information on the condition of public school buildings and what it would take to get them all in good or better condition, and the news here is good: According to local officials, 91% of local public schools are now in good or excellent condition. They estimate the cost to put the remaining 9% in good or better condition at $608 million, which is a $571 million decrease from the cost reported in the previous report. They also report that 82% of all school systems have sufficient space to house the teachers and classrooms required by the smaller class-size standards imposed by the Education Improvement Act (EIA) in the fall of 2001. The rest use portable classrooms, non-classroom spaces such as libraries and cafeterias for teaching classes, and classrooms that are empty when other teachers have planning periods.

TACIR estimates the cost of the remaining classrooms needed to house these teachers at almost $69 million statewide, which is also a huge drop (about 86% or $410 million) from the cost estimate in TACIR’s last report. School officials have made progress toward providing permanent classrooms for the teachers needed to meet the EIA class size mandates, but systems with higher enrollment growth still face challenges. The amount needed for enrollment growth and replacement schools increased from $1.3 billion in last year’s report to a current total now approaching $1.5 billion.

Other Highlights of the Report

-         Total education infrastructure needs increased from $5.3 billion to $5.6 billion (about 7%) since the last report.  This was the second largest increase among the six categories.  Needs at the state’s public post-secondary schools grew $535 million (about 35%) since the last report and are expected to continue to grow because of lottery scholarship-driven enrollment growth.

-         Health, safety, and welfare at $5.2 billion is the third largest cost category and accounts for 18.3% of the state’s public infrastructure needs.  Water and wastewater needs alone total almost $3.2 billion or over 11% of the grand total and 62% of this one category.  Water and wastewater, transportation, and local public education combined represent more than 70% of total reported needs.

-         The economic development category, which includes business districts and industrial sites and parks, had the largest percentage change as needs decreased by $442 million (40%) from the previous report.  Business district development needs decreased $342 million, with more than half of that decrease attributable to a reduction in the estimated cost of one project in Nashville.

-         Conventional wisdom holds that population density should produce lower infrastructure costs because of economies of scale.  This relationship is not borne out by TACIR’s infrastructure inventories based either on comparisons of counties that rank high and low for population density or on statistical analysis.  The most likely explanation is that urban development requires more infrastructure per capita than rural development does.

TACIR’s mission is to serve as a forum for the discussion and resolution of intergovernmental problems; provide high quality research support to state and local government officials in order to improve the overall quality of government in Tennessee; and to improve the effectiveness of the intergovernmental system to better serve the citizens of

Tennessee.

DUI Law Changes In Tennessee

Thursday, October 25th, 2007

On March 6, 2006, Governor Bredesen commissioned The Governor’s Task Force on DUI Laws In Tennessee.  Today, October 25, 2007, the task force’s recommendations were made public to the state’s Judiciary Committee, which I am a member of.  This issue has taken a front row recently with the high profile DUI arrests of one Senator and one Representative just this year.  Thankfully, no real preferential treatment seems to have been shown to either legislator.  Even more importantly, they did not harm anyone during their respective events.  496 Tennesseans were killed in alcohol related traffic accidents in 2005, with a cost to taxpayers of over $500 million.  Three fourths of the costs are assumed by those not involved in the accident (higher premiums, lost law enforcement assets, etc.).  Following are a list of the primary recommendations from the Task Force, which I am quite sure will be compiled into a comprehensive DUI reform bill to be introduced and hopefully passed in 2008:

1.     Administrative License Revocation

          -This is probably the number one thing we can do to enhance our existing laws.

2.     Class D Felony for 5th Offense

          -prior convictions during a 10 year window from time of arrest would be considered

          -360 day minimum sentence

3.     Vehicular Homicide 100%

          -Aggravated vehicular homicide would be classified by intoxication level

4.     Treatment and Monitoring

          -Give 2nd and 3rd offenders treatment and monitoring options.  After treatment use   technology to stop the offender from driving impaired.  Reward proven sober behavior with legal option to drive with ignition interlock device.

5.     High BAC Level To .15

          -Increase the penalty for high BAC level.  A person is 385 times more likely to be in a fatal crash at .15 than when sober.  No restricted license without ignition interlock for those who were over .15 or refused testing.

6.     Emergency Room Disclosure

          -Emergency room report to police when suspected impaired driver seeks treatment in the same way as mandatory child abuse reports.

7.     Prior Conviction Definition

          -Prior convictions should be included if they occurred within 10 years of arrest and forever if a homicide or vehicular assault.

8.     Blood/Breath Test Time Limitations

          -Current 2 hour limit is often impossible if defendant is transported for medical care and in rural communities, Memphis or Nashville.  The prosecution is currently penalized if officer is delayed due to crash response duties or if the major hospital E.R. has a long waiting period due to business.

9.     Child Endangerment

          -Penalty for child death should not be less than adult death.  Sentences should be consecutive or multiple offenders get a free pass.

10.    48 Hours In Jail for 1st Offenders

          -Trash pick up and public service have reduced jail time, but many never serve this part of sentence due to systematic problems.

11.    Obstructing Traffic

          -According to Tennessee court decisions, if an office activates blue lights to protect the public while checking on a car stopped in a lane of traffic, he has seized the driver illegally without reasonable suspicion.  If lights are not activated, then a bona fide traffic hazard continues to exist.

12.    DUI School Uniformity

          -DUI school is a valuable tool.  Some are very good and some appear to be cash cows.  A uniform curriculum and oversight by a designated agency could improve this tool.

13.    Assessments for 1st Time Offenders and Underage Offenders

          -Most 1st offenders aren’t.  It is the first time they have been caught.  Mandatory assessment would permit the Court to develop a penalty that might work to fix this problem.

14.    Indigent Monitoring Technology Fund

          -Add $25 per DUI case to fund transdermal alcohol monitoring and ignition interlocks for 2nd and 3rd offenders in program.

15.    Preliminary Breath Test (PBT)

          -Non evidential tests to help officer determine probable cause and or need for drug test.  These are not commonly used due to fear that use would exclude further breath testing.

16.    “De Novo” Appeals

          -Eliminate double dipping.  An offender convicted in a bench trial gets to start over with their appeals as if nothing had occurred.  Use Criminal appeal for appellate review only.  Encourage future review of Sessions Court jurisdiction to promote 6 person jury trials.

17.    Establish Permanent Task Force

          -Permit experts to examine how laws are working;  review DUI proposals to eliminate conflicts and respond to issues to advise the Legislature and Administration concerning issues of importance.

Save the Water DAM IT!

Tuesday, October 16th, 2007

This week for me has been hyper-focused on the drought and its possible additional effects. Before I mention the Normandy Reservoir and the Duck River, let me mention what our agriculture industry is facing.We’re looking at somewhere in the neighborhood of $750 million in lost farm income statewide. Remember, the agriculture industry comprises not only livestock, but row crops, hay and the entire horticulture industry. Tennessee is the nursery capitol of the world.

You can imagine what devastation these farmers are facing from this exceptional drought preceded by a very late freeze. The already weakened trees and crops died early in the drought. Many second plantings are totally dead.

The ‘official’ rain gauge in Manchester, TN read 0.1” of rain in the past 45 days on the 15th day of October. Coupled with record breaking heat, very few agriculture commodities are profiting.

 No pastures mean farmers are selling their stock to market sooner at a loss. It’s cheaper to do this than to feed hay that is approaching $7-8 dollars a bale-if you can find it at all.

This estimated $750 million dollar lost will have broad rippling effects. People who transport and broker commodities, harvest them, and raise them will see job losses. These job losses will spin into yet another level of loss, for dining establishments, gas stations and recreational venues. These establishments once frequented by people with disposable income will have no clientele.

That $750 million dollars in lost income would have put close to $75 million in the state’s coffers.  This is without taking into account the rippling effects of that money providing additional tax revenue as it makes its way down the money pyramid.

Duck River

I attended a meeting in Shelbyville today hosted by The Duck River Agency. Also in attendance were Rep. Curt Cobb and many other officials from agencies that include the TVA, United States Fish and Wildlife Service, United States Geological Survey, Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation, Tennessee Wildlife Resources Agency, The Nature Conservancy and several others. 

We met to come up with a current assessment of where the situation is now and what we need to do to mitigate it as much as possible as quickly as possible.  Just this Monday the Environmental Assessment (EA), (35 pages) has finally triggered the authorization to reduce the cubic feet per second of water released from the Reservoir in Normandy into the Duck River. 

The traditional (and current) flow is about 155cuft sec.  The new EA, which was codified in record time by the various state and federal agencies, allows us to drop the rate of discharge to 120 cuft sec.   We all agreed another EA must be completed as soon as possible that will pave the way for a further reduction, perhaps as low as 80 cuft sec.  The sooner we can do this the better, as we’re losing 70+ million gallons of water a day at the current rate.  It is anticipated we might hit a Dec. 1, 2007 goal to get this second part approved and implemented.  

There was no real objection to doing it immediately…which could save us several weeks of water in a real crunch, should it arise.  However, because of concern for mussels and other species that live in the Duck River this process will take some time.

  There is absolutely no danger that this process creates, that I am aware of, that will begin killing off species anytime soon…or for months to come.  I believe humans are more important than mussels and other species in the Duck and I will make every effort to ensure that the human population is protected and safe.

The Normandy lake level is currently at 856.5 feet. That means we are in a moderate shortage and we need to pay close attention and do the type of due diligence in advance that is needed if further reductions are warranted. When the reservoir reaches 850 feet, we can perhaps expect some mandatory water restrictions.

When the lake hits 844 feet, more than likely we will have some emergency water restrictions. Without significant rainfall this fall and winter it is possible to see some emergency restrictions.

Our goal is to make the best plan possible by combining the best heads in their respective fields and doing all we can to divert any public health issue.  We can do it and still feed our livestock, operate our businesses and remain healthy-we just have to do it a little less. 

Keep in mind, the people in my district are going dry slowly, but some towns are OUT of water and Atlanta, GA is 90 days away from no water.  Can you imagine an economic engine like Atlanta shuddering?  The ripple effects of that one would be incalculable.

I will keep you posted on what is happening with this issue.  I know TVA gets accused quite often of being a lumbering bureaucracy, but they have gotten my district through the worse drought we have recorded so far, and we still have a lot of headroom.  Someone at TVA has been vigilant in making sure we have water, and obviously keeping enough in reserve to ride out the drought relatively comfortable so far.

By the way, it’s raining right now.

 

 

I Drought Rain Will Come Soon Enough

Tuesday, October 9th, 2007

     Yesterday I attended a series of meetings in Nashville which dealt specifically with our drought problems in Tennessee.  First and foremost I was there to help promote a very strong effort by the local governments I represent and the Duck River Utility Commission.  Normandy Reservoir, which empties into the Duck River is literally going dry.  Currently there are about 150 cubic feet of water leaving the lake per second.  There is about 10 cubic feet a second entering the reservoir and the Duck River Utility Commission (which provides potable water to many area communities) pumps about 9 cubic feet a second out of that.    

     There has been an effort underway for quite some months to get the Tennessee Valley Authority to reduce the amount of water leaving the lake to a minimum of 120 cubic feet per second, which is usually done every year around the first of December as the reservoir naturally gets lower during winter months.  This year, however, we are several moths ahead of that customary need.  Finally, in a very strong cooperative fashion (and quite fast for government), the myriad of state and federal agencies have agreed on a plan.  Read this official letter requesting an expedited flow restriction into the Duck River.  The letter goes into a lot of good detail about potential ramifications to various species and consumers.

     We should see the flow reduce from 150 cubic feet per second to somewhere in the neighborhood of 130 cubic feet per second immediately (this week).  The state will then collect some additional baseline data, see how all the various species are faring, then move down to 120 cubic feet per second.  From this point, we will take additional data and make some simulations and predictions about the downstream effects on ever lesser flows…eventually to as low as 80 cubic feet per second.  Members of the USGS and other agencies taking the lead on providing us data all agree there is probably no real and significant rainfall anytime soon, but we never really know for sure.

Here are some other great links to get some more info:

Normandy Operating Guide; Lake Elevation Levels

U.S. Drought Chart

Duck River Utility Commission Website

Department of Environment and Conservation Letter
Regarding Normandy Reservoir Flow Release

More Transportation Woes

Wednesday, October 3rd, 2007

As we get ever closer to the next half of the 105th General Assembly, our transportation funding shortfalls are going to dominate more and more of the Legislature’s time.  Rather than try to accurately summarize the problem as a whole, I have attached a few PowerPoint presentations that were provided by the Tennessee Department of Transportation and the NCSL (National Conference of State Legislators).  These slides detail current funds, projected shortfalls and give a good comparative analysis of how Tennessee ranks with other states on the issues and challenges at hand.  The slides are busy in some areas, but the information is very good. Please feel free to post your comments on this important issue.

NCSL Surface Transportation Funding Report

NCSL Tennessee Finance Alternatives - PowerPoint